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008 070214s2007 nyu b 001 0deng d
010 _a 2007006477
011 _aBIB MATCHES WORLDCAT
020 _a0826493424
_qhardcover (alk. paper)
020 _a9780826493422
_qhardcover (alk. paper)
020 _a082642872X
_qhbk.
020 _a9780826428721
_qhbk.
035 _a(ATU)b11293421
035 _a(OCoLC)83977516
040 _aDLC
_beng
_erda
_cDLC
_dBTCTA
_dBAKER
_dYDXCP
_dUKM
_dATU
050 0 0 _aHB849.53
_b.A45 2007
082 0 0 _a303.49
_222
100 1 _aAligică, Paul Dragoș.
_9251272
245 1 0 _aProphecies of doom and scenarios of progress :
_bHerman Kahn, Julian Simon, and the prospective imagination /
_cPaul Dragos Aligica.
264 1 _aNew York :
_bContinuum International Pub. Group,
_c[2007]
264 4 _c©2007
300 _axiv, 112 pages ;
_c24 cm
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _aunmediated
_bn
_2rdamedia
338 _avolume
_bnc
_2rdacarrier
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 107-109) and index.
505 0 0 _tIntroduction --
_g1.
_tThe Great Transition and the Limits to Growth --
_tThe Resourceful Earth versus Global 2000 --
_tThe Historical and Macro-Sociological Background: The Great Transition --
_tThe Pro-Growth Momentum --
_tThe Cultural Contradictions of Economic Growth --
_tPsychology, Mass Media and the Rhetoric of Bad News --
_tThe Epistemic Angle: Organizational and Institutional --
_tThe Epistemic Angle: Conceptual and Substantive --
_tIn Search of Solutions --
_g2.
_tDealing with the Challenge of the Future: Approaches and Methods --
_tThe Dichotomies Defining a Realistic and Accurate Approach --
_tThe Economic Way of Thinking --
_tBroad Studies and the Challenge of Expert Knowledge --
_tThe Institutionalization of Interdisciplinarity --
_tThe Heuristic and Propaedeutic Dimensions --
_tScenarios, Alternative Futures and the Method of Classes of Variables --
_tLimits and Challenges --
_tThe Role of Knowledge in Society --
_g3.
_tAn Emerging Paradigm: The Foundations --
_tThe Ontological Dimension: Open Systems and Entropy --
_tThe Social Philosophy Dimension: Evolution, Social Exchange and Creativity --
_tThe Epistemological Dimension: Pragmatic and Eclectic Operationalism --
_tThe Axiological Dimension: Values as Constitutive Principles and Policy Yardsticks --
_tThe Value of Truth --
_tConclusions.
588 _aMachine converted from AACR2 source record.
600 1 0 _aKahn, Herman,
_d1922-1983
_9332582
600 1 0 _aSimon, Julian Lincoln,
_d1932-1998.
_9311906
650 0 _aPopulation forecasting
_9322580
650 0 _aFood supply
_xForecasting
_9627949
650 0 _aEnergy consumption
_xForecasting
_9337703
907 _a.b11293421
_b20-03-18
_c27-10-15
998 _ab
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_b20-03-18
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945 _a303.49 ALI
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