TY  - BOOK
AU  - Aligică,Paul Dragoș
TI  - Prophecies of doom and scenarios of progress: Herman Kahn, Julian Simon, and the prospective imagination 
SN  - 0826493424
AV  - HB849.53 .A45 2007
U1  - 303.49 22
PY  - 2007///]
CY  - New York
PB  - Continuum International Pub. Group
KW  - Kahn, Herman,
KW  - Simon, Julian Lincoln,
KW  - Population forecasting
KW  - Food supply
KW  - Forecasting
KW  - Energy consumption
N1  - Includes bibliographical references (pages 107-109) and index; Introduction --; 1; The Great Transition and the Limits to Growth --; The Resourceful Earth versus Global 2000 --; The Historical and Macro-Sociological Background: The Great Transition --; The Pro-Growth Momentum --; The Cultural Contradictions of Economic Growth --; Psychology, Mass Media and the Rhetoric of Bad News --; The Epistemic Angle: Organizational and Institutional --; The Epistemic Angle: Conceptual and Substantive --; In Search of Solutions --; 2; Dealing with the Challenge of the Future: Approaches and Methods --; The Dichotomies Defining a Realistic and Accurate Approach --; The Economic Way of Thinking --; Broad Studies and the Challenge of Expert Knowledge --; The Institutionalization of Interdisciplinarity --; The Heuristic and Propaedeutic Dimensions --; Scenarios, Alternative Futures and the Method of Classes of Variables --; Limits and Challenges --; The Role of Knowledge in Society --; 3; An Emerging Paradigm: The Foundations --; The Ontological Dimension: Open Systems and Entropy --; The Social Philosophy Dimension: Evolution, Social Exchange and Creativity --; The Epistemological Dimension: Pragmatic and Eclectic Operationalism --; The Axiological Dimension: Values as Constitutive Principles and Policy Yardsticks --; The Value of Truth --; Conclusions
ER  -