Prophecies of doom and scenarios of progress : Herman Kahn, Julian Simon, and the prospective imagination / Paul Dragos Aligica.
Material type: TextPublisher: New York : Continuum International Pub. Group, [2007]Copyright date: ©2007Description: xiv, 112 pages ; 24 cmContent type:- text
- unmediated
- volume
- 0826493424
- 9780826493422
- 082642872X
- 9780826428721
- 303.49 22
- HB849.53 .A45 2007
Item type | Current library | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | City Campus City Campus Main Collection | 303.49 ALI (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | 1 | Available | A374718B |
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303.485099346 WRI Quake : Hawke's Bay, 1931 / | 303.485099346 WRI Quake : Hawke's Bay, 1931 / | 303.49 ADA Future matters : action, knowledge, ethics / | 303.49 ALI Prophecies of doom and scenarios of progress : Herman Kahn, Julian Simon, and the prospective imagination / | 303.49 ATT A brief history of the future / | 303.49 BEL The coming of post-industrial society : a venture in social forecasting / | 303.49 BEL The coming of post-industrial society : a venture in social forecasting / |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 107-109) and index.
Introduction -- 1. The Great Transition and the Limits to Growth -- The Resourceful Earth versus Global 2000 -- The Historical and Macro-Sociological Background: The Great Transition -- The Pro-Growth Momentum -- The Cultural Contradictions of Economic Growth -- Psychology, Mass Media and the Rhetoric of Bad News -- The Epistemic Angle: Organizational and Institutional -- The Epistemic Angle: Conceptual and Substantive -- In Search of Solutions -- 2. Dealing with the Challenge of the Future: Approaches and Methods -- The Dichotomies Defining a Realistic and Accurate Approach -- The Economic Way of Thinking -- Broad Studies and the Challenge of Expert Knowledge -- The Institutionalization of Interdisciplinarity -- The Heuristic and Propaedeutic Dimensions -- Scenarios, Alternative Futures and the Method of Classes of Variables -- Limits and Challenges -- The Role of Knowledge in Society -- 3. An Emerging Paradigm: The Foundations -- The Ontological Dimension: Open Systems and Entropy -- The Social Philosophy Dimension: Evolution, Social Exchange and Creativity -- The Epistemological Dimension: Pragmatic and Eclectic Operationalism -- The Axiological Dimension: Values as Constitutive Principles and Policy Yardsticks -- The Value of Truth -- Conclusions.
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