Modelling our future : population ageing, social security and taxation / edited by Ann Harding, Anil Gupta.

A selection of papers from a conference entitled: International Microsimulation Conference on Population Ageing and Health, held Dec. 2003 in Canberra, Australia.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Can we afford the future? An evaluation of the new Swedish pension system / Lennart Flood -- A microsimulation model of private sector pensions in France / Thierry Debrand, Sophie Pennec and Anne-Gisèle Privat -- Effects of demographic developments, labour supply and pension reforms on the future pension burden in Norway / Dennis Fredriksen and Nils Martin Stølen -- Macroeconomic effects of proposed pension reforms in Norway / Dennis Fredriksen ... [et al.] -- Adding private pensions to the Canadian DYNACAN model / Richard J. Morrison -- Post-secondary education and training participation rates in Australia in the next 30 years : a microsimulation approach / Sandra Roussel -- Lifetime redistribution through taxes, transfers and non-cash benefits / Thomas Pettersson and Tomas Pettersson -- Income distribution and redistribution in a medium-term perspective in Denmark / Frederik Hansen -- Population ageing and fiscal sustainability : integrating detailed labour supply models with CGE models / Rolf Aaberge ... [et al.] -- Canadian retirement behaviour : a microeconomic examination / Greg Maloney, Mashood Mirza and François Paris -- STINMOD : use of a static microsimulation model in the policy process in Australia / Rachel Lloyd -- The impact of Canadian population ageing on federal personal income tax : microsimulation results from 2000 to 2026 / Weng-Fong Lu, Wei Li and Earl Bailey -- Basic income or vital minimum? A note on the distributive effects of possible reforms of the Spanish income tax / Xisco Oliver and Amedeo Spadaro -- Self provision in retirement? Forecasting future household wealth in Australia / Simon Kelly -- Household net wealth in New Zealand : implications for retirement incomes / Grant M. Scobie and John Gibson -- Population ageing, housing demand and house prices in Australia : a microsimulation analysis / Ross S. Guest -- Population ageing and state concessions policy / Karen Piper and Don Siemon -- Future service provision at the local level : demographic modelling and forecasting in the city of Bayside / Simon Byth -- Characteristics and travel patterns of older Australians : impact of population ageing on tourism / Afzal Hossain, Geoff Bailey and Milly Lubulwa -- --

Ch. 1. Introduction and overview / Ann Harding and Anil Gupta -- Ch. 2. Can we afford the future? : an evaluation of the new Swedish pension system / Lennart Flood -- Ch. 3. A microsimulation model of private sector pensions in France / Thierry Debrand, Sophie Pennec and Anne-Gisele Privat -- Ch. 4. Effects of demographic developments, labour supply and pension reforms on the future pension burden in Norway / Dennis Fredriksen and Nils Martin Stolen -- Ch. 5. Macroeconomic effects of proposed pension reforms in Norway / Dennis Fredriksen, Kim Massey Heide, Erling Holmoy and Ingeborg Foldoy Solli -- Ch. 6. Adding private pensions to the Canadian DYNACAN model / Richard J. Morrison -- Ch. 7. Post-secondary education and training participation rates in Australia in the next 30 years : a microsimulation approach / Sandra Roussel -- Ch. 8. Lifetime redistribution through taxes, transfers and non-cash benefits / Thomas Pettersson and Tomas Pettersson -- Ch. 9. Income distribution and redistribution in a medium-term perspective in Denmark / Frederik Hansen -- Ch. 10. Population ageing and fiscal sustainability : integrating detailed labour supply models with CGE models / Rolf Aaberge, Ugo Colombino, Erling Holmoy, Birger Strom and Tom Wennemo -- Ch. 11. Canadian retirement behaviour : a microeconomic examination / Greg Maloney, Mashood Mirza and Francois Paris -- Ch. 12. STINMOD : use of a static microsimulation model in the policy process in Australia / Rachel Lloyd -- Ch. 13. The impact of Canadian population ageing on federal personal income tax : microsimulation results from 2000 to 2026 / Weng-Fong Lu, Wei Li and Earl Bailey -- Ch. 14. Basic income or vital minimum? : a note on the distributive effects of possible reforms of the Spanish income tax / Xisco Oliver and Amedeo Spadaro -- Ch. 15. Self provision in retirement? : forecasting future household wealth in Australia / Simon Kelly -- Ch. 16. Household net wealth in New Zealand : implications for retirement incomes / Grant M. Scobie and John Gibson -- Ch. 17. Population ageing, housing demand and house prices in Australia : a microsimulation analysis / Ross S. Guest -- Ch. 18. Population ageing and state concessions policy / Karen Piper and Don Siemon -- Ch. 19. Future service provision at the local level : demographic modelling and forecasting in the city of Bayside / Simon Byth -- Ch. 20. Characteristics and travel patterns of older Australians : impact of population ageing on tourism / Afzal Hossain, Geoff Bailey and Milly Lubulwa.

"The issues associated with population ageing are already assuming prominence in most OECD countries. Many governments are extremely concerned about the likely impact of population ageing upon future government outlays and economic growth. In Australia, for example, there have already been two major government reports that have attempted to quantify the likely implications for government spending of population ageing. These reports have concluded that there will either have to be cuts in current government programs, increases in taxes or some combination of these. The ageing population will also require more health human resources (doctors, nurses, pharmacists etc.), in an environment where the existing workforce itself is ageing. Economic growth is forecast to slow significantly in future decades due to population ageing, reducing government?s ability to rely on a rapidly growing taxpaying labour force to finance the expected shortfalls. Against this backdrop, volumes 15 and 16 of the International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics Series provide very timely and relevant research for policy makers and researchers across the world. The modelling approaches and research described in the volumes are at the international leading edge, providing insights into how different countries are facing the challenges associated with population ageing. Many countries have developed microsimulation and other models to help them evaluate the impacts of population ageing and of public policy change. Volume 15 concentrates upon the impacts of population ageing upon social security and taxation. For example, the chapters examine likely future pension outlays under current and possible alternative schemes; estimate the likely wealth of future retirees; forecast tax revenues out to 2026 and look at the impact of population ageing upon housing prices and tourism.*Contains invaluable information that aims to help shape the current and future public policy debates in this area*The authors are established leaders in the field *International in Scope"--Publisher description.

Machine converted from AACR2 source record.