Demography : measuring and modeling population processes /
Preston, Samuel H.,
Demography : measuring and modeling population processes / Samuel H. Preston, Patrick Heuveline, Michel Guillot. - xiii, 291 pages : illustrations ; 26 cm
Includes bibliographical references and index.
1. Basic Concepts and Measures. 1.1. Meaning of "Population" 1.2. The Balancing Equation of Population Change. 1.3. The Structure of Demographic Rates. 1.4. Period Rates and Person-years. 1.5. Principal Period Rates in Demography. 1.6. Growth Rates in Demography. 1.7. Estimating Period Person-years. 1.8. The Concept of a Cohort. 1.9. Probabilities of Occurrence of Events -- 2. Age-specific Rates and Probabilities. 2.1. Period Age-specific Rates. 2.2. Age-standardization. 2.3. Decomposition of Differences between Rates or Proportions. 2.4. The Lexis Diagram. 2.5. Age-specific Probabilities. 2.6. Probabilities of Death Based on Mortality Experience of a Single Calendar Year -- 3. The Life Table and Single Decrement Processes. 3.1. Period Life Tables. 3.2. Strategies for Choosing a Set [subscript n]a[subscript x] Values and/or for Making the [actual symbol not reproducible] Conversion. 3.3. The Very Young Ages. 3.4. The Open-ended Age Interval. 3.5. Review of Steps for Period Life Table Construction. 3.6. Interpreting the Life Table. 3.7. The Life Table Conceived as a Stationary Population. 3.8. Mortality as a Continuous Process. 3.9. Life Table Construction Revisited. 3.10. Decomposing a Difference in Life Expectancies. 3.11. Adaptation of the Life Table for Studying Other Single Decrement Process -- Appendix 3.1: Life Table Relationships in Continuous Notation -- 4. Multiple Decrement Processes. 4.1. Multiple Decrement Tables for a Real Cohort. 4.2. Multiple Decrement Life Tables for Periods. 4.3. Some Basic Mathematics of Multiple Decrement Processes. 4.4. Associated Single Decrement Tables from Period Data. 4.5. Cause-specific Decomposition of Differences in Life Expectancies. 4.6. Associated Single Decrement Tables from Current Status Data. 4.7. Stationary Populations with Multiple Sources of Decrement -- 5. Fertility and Reproduction. 5.1. Period Fertility Rates. 5.2. Decomposition of Period Fertility. 5.3. Cohort Fertility. 5.4. Birth Interval Analysis. 5.5. Reproduction Measures -- 6. Population Projection. 6.1. Projections and Forecasts. 6.2. Population Projection Methodology. 6.3. The Cohort Component Method. 6.4. Projections in Matrix Notation. 6.5. Population Forecasts. 6.6. The USBOC Projection of the US Population. 6.7. Alternative Forecasting Methods. 6.8. Accuracy and Uncertainty. 6.9. Other Uses of Population Projections -- 7. The Stable Population Model. 7.1. A Simplified Example of a Stable Population. 7.2. Lotka's Demonstration of Conditions Producing a Stable Population. 7.3. The Equations Characterizing a Stable Population. 7.4. The "Stable Equivalent" Population. 7.5. The Relation between the Intrinsic Growth Rate and the Net Reproduction Rate. 7.6. The Effects of Changes in Fertility and Mortality on Age Structure, Growth Rates, Birth Rates, and Death Rates. 7.7. The Momentum of Population Growth. 7.8. Uses of the Stable Population Model in Demographic Estimation -- 8. Demographic Relations in Nonstable Populations. 8.1. An Illustration. 8.2. Relations in Continuous Age and Time. 8.3. Extensions of the Basic Relations. 8.4. Deconstructing the Age-specific Growth Rate. 8.5. Age Structural Dynamics. 8.6. Uses of Variable-r Methods in Demographic Estimation -- 9. Modeling Age Patterns of Vital Events. 9.1. Model Age Patterns of Mortality. 9.2. Age Patterns of Nuptiality. 9.3. Age Patterns of Fertility. 9.4. Model Age Patterns of Migration -- 10. Methods for Evaluating Data Quality. 10.1. Statistical Methods for Identifying Coverage Errors. 10.2. Statistical Methods for Evaluating Content Errors. 10.3. Demographic Methods of Assessing Data Quality -- 11. Indirect Estimation Methods. 11.1. Estimation of Child Mortality from Information on Child Survivorship: The Brass Method. 11.2. Estimation of Adult Mortality Using Information on Orphanhood. 11.3. The Sisterhood Method for Estimating Maternal Mortality. 11.4. Estimating Mortality and Fertility from Maternity Histories. 11.5. Indirect Estimation Methods Using Age Distributions at Two Censuses -- 12. Increment-Decrement Life Tables (Alberto Palloni, University of Wisconsin). 12.1. Introduction. 12.2. Increment-Decrement Life Tables. 12.3. Estimation of Increment-Decrement Life Tables. 12.4. Formalization and Generalization of Relations. 12.5. The Simplest Case: A Two-state System. 12.6. Alternative Solutions: The Case of Constant Rates. 12.7. Programs for the Calculation of Increment-Decrement Life Tables.
"This book presents and develops the basic methods and models that are used by demographers to study the behavior of human populations. The procedures are clearly and concisely developed from first principles, and extensive applications are presented." "The authors focus on quantitative procedures for studying the growth and structure of populations, including measurement of fertility and mortality, population projection, and equilibrium models. The book also covers procedures for evaluating data quality and estimating demographic parameters when conventional data are deficient. It will provide a comprehensive introduction to demographic methods for all students and researchers in this subject."--Jacket.
1557862141 9781557862143 1557864519 9781557864512
00033721
Demography.
Population research.
HB849.4 / .P73 2001
304.6072
Demography : measuring and modeling population processes / Samuel H. Preston, Patrick Heuveline, Michel Guillot. - xiii, 291 pages : illustrations ; 26 cm
Includes bibliographical references and index.
1. Basic Concepts and Measures. 1.1. Meaning of "Population" 1.2. The Balancing Equation of Population Change. 1.3. The Structure of Demographic Rates. 1.4. Period Rates and Person-years. 1.5. Principal Period Rates in Demography. 1.6. Growth Rates in Demography. 1.7. Estimating Period Person-years. 1.8. The Concept of a Cohort. 1.9. Probabilities of Occurrence of Events -- 2. Age-specific Rates and Probabilities. 2.1. Period Age-specific Rates. 2.2. Age-standardization. 2.3. Decomposition of Differences between Rates or Proportions. 2.4. The Lexis Diagram. 2.5. Age-specific Probabilities. 2.6. Probabilities of Death Based on Mortality Experience of a Single Calendar Year -- 3. The Life Table and Single Decrement Processes. 3.1. Period Life Tables. 3.2. Strategies for Choosing a Set [subscript n]a[subscript x] Values and/or for Making the [actual symbol not reproducible] Conversion. 3.3. The Very Young Ages. 3.4. The Open-ended Age Interval. 3.5. Review of Steps for Period Life Table Construction. 3.6. Interpreting the Life Table. 3.7. The Life Table Conceived as a Stationary Population. 3.8. Mortality as a Continuous Process. 3.9. Life Table Construction Revisited. 3.10. Decomposing a Difference in Life Expectancies. 3.11. Adaptation of the Life Table for Studying Other Single Decrement Process -- Appendix 3.1: Life Table Relationships in Continuous Notation -- 4. Multiple Decrement Processes. 4.1. Multiple Decrement Tables for a Real Cohort. 4.2. Multiple Decrement Life Tables for Periods. 4.3. Some Basic Mathematics of Multiple Decrement Processes. 4.4. Associated Single Decrement Tables from Period Data. 4.5. Cause-specific Decomposition of Differences in Life Expectancies. 4.6. Associated Single Decrement Tables from Current Status Data. 4.7. Stationary Populations with Multiple Sources of Decrement -- 5. Fertility and Reproduction. 5.1. Period Fertility Rates. 5.2. Decomposition of Period Fertility. 5.3. Cohort Fertility. 5.4. Birth Interval Analysis. 5.5. Reproduction Measures -- 6. Population Projection. 6.1. Projections and Forecasts. 6.2. Population Projection Methodology. 6.3. The Cohort Component Method. 6.4. Projections in Matrix Notation. 6.5. Population Forecasts. 6.6. The USBOC Projection of the US Population. 6.7. Alternative Forecasting Methods. 6.8. Accuracy and Uncertainty. 6.9. Other Uses of Population Projections -- 7. The Stable Population Model. 7.1. A Simplified Example of a Stable Population. 7.2. Lotka's Demonstration of Conditions Producing a Stable Population. 7.3. The Equations Characterizing a Stable Population. 7.4. The "Stable Equivalent" Population. 7.5. The Relation between the Intrinsic Growth Rate and the Net Reproduction Rate. 7.6. The Effects of Changes in Fertility and Mortality on Age Structure, Growth Rates, Birth Rates, and Death Rates. 7.7. The Momentum of Population Growth. 7.8. Uses of the Stable Population Model in Demographic Estimation -- 8. Demographic Relations in Nonstable Populations. 8.1. An Illustration. 8.2. Relations in Continuous Age and Time. 8.3. Extensions of the Basic Relations. 8.4. Deconstructing the Age-specific Growth Rate. 8.5. Age Structural Dynamics. 8.6. Uses of Variable-r Methods in Demographic Estimation -- 9. Modeling Age Patterns of Vital Events. 9.1. Model Age Patterns of Mortality. 9.2. Age Patterns of Nuptiality. 9.3. Age Patterns of Fertility. 9.4. Model Age Patterns of Migration -- 10. Methods for Evaluating Data Quality. 10.1. Statistical Methods for Identifying Coverage Errors. 10.2. Statistical Methods for Evaluating Content Errors. 10.3. Demographic Methods of Assessing Data Quality -- 11. Indirect Estimation Methods. 11.1. Estimation of Child Mortality from Information on Child Survivorship: The Brass Method. 11.2. Estimation of Adult Mortality Using Information on Orphanhood. 11.3. The Sisterhood Method for Estimating Maternal Mortality. 11.4. Estimating Mortality and Fertility from Maternity Histories. 11.5. Indirect Estimation Methods Using Age Distributions at Two Censuses -- 12. Increment-Decrement Life Tables (Alberto Palloni, University of Wisconsin). 12.1. Introduction. 12.2. Increment-Decrement Life Tables. 12.3. Estimation of Increment-Decrement Life Tables. 12.4. Formalization and Generalization of Relations. 12.5. The Simplest Case: A Two-state System. 12.6. Alternative Solutions: The Case of Constant Rates. 12.7. Programs for the Calculation of Increment-Decrement Life Tables.
"This book presents and develops the basic methods and models that are used by demographers to study the behavior of human populations. The procedures are clearly and concisely developed from first principles, and extensive applications are presented." "The authors focus on quantitative procedures for studying the growth and structure of populations, including measurement of fertility and mortality, population projection, and equilibrium models. The book also covers procedures for evaluating data quality and estimating demographic parameters when conventional data are deficient. It will provide a comprehensive introduction to demographic methods for all students and researchers in this subject."--Jacket.
1557862141 9781557862143 1557864519 9781557864512
00033721
Demography.
Population research.
HB849.4 / .P73 2001
304.6072